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    QUANTA SERVICES (PWR)

    Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

    Reported on Feb 7, 2025 (Before Market Open)
    Pre-Earnings Price$311.63Last close (Oct 30, 2024)
    Post-Earnings Price$299.14Open (Oct 31, 2024)
    Price Change
    $-12.49(-4.01%)
    MetricYoY ChangeReason

    Total Revenue

    +16% YoY

    The increase from prior-year revenues was driven by strong demand for both electric power and renewable energy infrastructure solutions, combined with improved execution on large projects and contributions from acquired businesses. These factors more than offset the decline in the Underground segment.

    Electric Power

    +20% YoY

    Growth was fueled by utility investments in grid modernization, security, and system hardening initiatives, as well as steady backlog from multiyear capital expenditure programs. This build on the prior period’s success, which also reflected the company’s ability to capitalize on favorable regulatory support.

    Renewable Energy

    +29% YoY

    The segment benefited from strong demand for renewable generation and transmission services, coupled with easing supply chain constraints compared to the prior period. Additionally, newly acquired businesses and higher project volume supported further revenue acceleration.

    Underground and Infrastructure

    -9% YoY

    Lower revenues from large pipeline projects in Canada weighed on this segment, continuing the trend from earlier quarters where project timing and resource utilization were inconsistent. However, gains in U.S. pipeline work and contributions from acquisitions partially offset the decline.

    United States

    +22% YoY

    The U.S. market benefited from increased demand for renewable and electric power infrastructure, aligned with federal and state policy incentives. This continued the growth momentum from the prior year, stemming from a robust backlog and higher investments in grid reliability.

    Canada

    -43% YoY

    Revenues in Canada were impacted by the completion or wind-down of large pipeline and transmission projects, as well as ongoing workforce allocation challenges. This marks a sharper decline than in the previous period, reflecting fewer new large-scale projects and resource redeployment to other regions.

    Australia

    +32% YoY

    Australian operations saw heightened activity in utility and renewable projects, building on initial successes from the previous year. The region benefited from favorable regulatory drivers and the company’s strategic push to broaden its international footprint.

    Net Income

    +10% YoY

    The gain was driven by revenue growth in higher-margin segments (Electric Power, Renewable Energy) and lower amortization expenses compared to earlier periods. The decline in Underground revenues partially tempered net income, but cost management measures helped maintain profitability.

    Diluted EPS

    +7% YoY

    EPS improvement followed the rise in net income while reflecting share-based compensation and acquisition-related impacts. This builds on the previous period’s earnings, with continued strong performance in core segments driving overall profitability and supporting higher per-share earnings.

    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Adjusted EPS Growth

    FY 2024

    double-digit growth

    20% at midpoint

    raised

    Free Cash Flow

    FY 2024

    double-digit growth

    record levels

    raised

    Leverage Profile

    FY 2024

    under 2x by end of FY 2024

    below 2x by year-end

    no change

    Revenue

    FY 2024

    record revenues

    record revenues

    no change

    Adjusted EBITDA Growth

    FY 2024

    double-digit growth

    double-digit growth

    no change

    Free Cash Flow Conversion

    FY 2024

    no prior guidance

    45% to 55% range

    no prior guidance

    Cupertino Electric Revenue

    FY 2024

    no prior guidance

    High end of $1 billion to $1.1B

    no prior guidance

    MetricPeriodGuidanceActualPerformance
    Revenue
    Q3 2024
    Double-digit YoY growth
    15.5% YoY growth (from US$5,620.8MIn Q3 2023 to US$6,493.2MIn Q3 2024)
    Beat
    Adjusted EBITDA
    Q3 2024
    Double-digit YoY growth
    ~14.2% YoY growth (from US$553.2MIn Q3 2023 to US$631.6MIn Q3 2024, approximated as EBIT + D&A)
    Beat
    Adjusted EPS
    Q3 2024
    Double-digit YoY growth
    ~6.6% YoY growth (from US$1.83 diluted EPSIn Q3 2023 to US$1.95 diluted EPSIn Q3 2024)
    Missed
    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    Transmission & Distribution expansions

    Consistently highlighted in Q2, Q1, and Q4 2023 as a primary growth driver. Discussions included demand from renewables, load growth, and regional utility spending.

    Record levels of transmission projects and strong visibility into large projects; management emphasized the need for expedited T&D infrastructure to address capacity constraints and energy transition.

    Recurring topic with consistently positive sentiment and increasing future significance.

    Renewables growth (wind, solar, storage)

    Faced margin challenges in Q2 and Q1 due to underperforming projects ($20M drag in Q2, 5% of portfolio in Q1). Q4 2023 also indicated optimism in double-digit growth tied to projects like SunZia.

    Good margins with confidence in achieving 9–10% or double-digit margins over time; fastest growth in battery storage. Backlog expected to increase, reflecting strong market demand.

    Steadily improving after earlier execution issues.

    AI and data center demand

    Cited in prior calls (Q2, Q1, Q4) as major factors fueling load growth and infrastructure needs; “mind-blowing” levels of demand in Q1; strong synergy with the energy transition noted in Q4.

    Seen as a significant driver of load growth for the first time in two decades; Quanta noted large-scale demand from technology clients and utilities prioritizing reliable power.

    Increasing importance with no expressed concern about over-reliance in Q3.

    Storm-related emergency work

    Not a major focus in Q2, Q1, or Q4. Storms were occasionally referenced as potential opportunities for upside or as part of weather-driven demand shifts, but Q3 is the first period detailing specific margin/resource impacts.

    Incremental revenue ($200M) but caused resource reallocation from other projects, creating margin impacts. Large-scale deployments disrupted industrial and gas-based work.

    Newly highlighted in Q3 with direct effects on margins.

    Cupertino Electric synergies

    Introduced in Q2 2024 with higher-than-anticipated synergy potential (8% originally). Not mentioned in Q1 or Q4 2023.

    Integration proceeding well, with synergies already visible though not fully reflected in financials; Cupertino is performing at the high end of its revenue range ($1.0–1.1B).

    New topic in Q2, continued in Q3, no prior mentions.

    Organic growth vs. acquisitions

    Common theme in Q2, Q1, and Q4 2023. Q2 mentioned 15% organic EPS growth; Q1 and Q4 reinforced strong organic performance alongside selective acquisitions.

    Noted 5% organic T&D growth in Q3; acquisitions contributed to backlog, but Quanta reiterated a balanced approach (both organic expansion and M&A).

    Recurring theme with steady confidence in organic growth.

    Execution challenges in renewables

    In Q2, a $20M project drag; in Q1, underperformance in 5% of renewables portfolio. Q4 had no specific discussion of shortfalls.

    No major challenges cited for Q3 regarding margin shortfalls or project underperformance.

    Topic largely resolved or not mentioned in Q3.

    Large diameter pipeline projects

    Q2 indicated Quanta does not rely on large-diameter pipelines for guidance. Q1 noted a down backlog, and Q4 confirmed shifting away from long-haul pipelines due to regulatory challenges.

    Not mentioned in Q3 explicitly; focus remained on T&D and renewables.

    Decreasing emphasis as strategy shifts to electric and renewables work.

    1. Renewable Margins Outlook
      Q: Can we expect double-digit renewable margins by 2025?
      A: Management believes achieving double-digit margins in the renewable segment is possible over time. They have made improvements, noting that the transmission business is already around double digits. They remain confident about reaching 9% to 10% margins as previously stated.

    2. Cupertino Electric Guidance
      Q: Has guidance for Cupertino Electric changed this year?
      A: Cupertino Electric is performing at the high end of the $1 billion to $1.1 billion revenue range previously indicated. Management sees synergies already showing up and expects Cupertino to contribute more significantly in 2025 and beyond, particularly in the data center business.

    3. Renewable Transmission Projects
      Q: What's the outlook for renewable transmission projects?
      A: The company sees record levels of bids and proposals for large transmission projects in 2025, 2026, and 2027. Management believes transmission infrastructure is critical for meeting market demand and notes they have never seen the business better.

    4. Data Center Investment Timing
      Q: When will data center investments impact your backlog?
      A: Utilities are beginning to issue equity for transmission growth, and discussions with RTOs and developers are ongoing. Management expects significant transmission and substation builds to start soon, as these projects require starting now to meet future demand. They are in the early stages but see substantial opportunities ahead.

    5. Organic Growth Outlook
      Q: Why was organic growth slower, and what's the outlook?
      A: Organic growth was 5% into the third quarter but is expected to be double-digit for the year at the midpoint of the forecast range. Management anticipates upper single-digit organic growth going forward for the traditional T&D business.

    6. Transformer Manufacturing Acquisition
      Q: How does the transformer acquisition address supply constraints?
      A: The acquisition of a small transformer manufacturing company helps alleviate constraints on large transformers. The factory supports internal needs but is intended to enhance the whole market. Synergies with existing assets are present, and the company aims to improve its position in self-performing critical path items.

    7. Labor Constraints and Inflation
      Q: How are workforce constraints affecting margins and inflation?
      A: Management acknowledges labor costs are increasing by about 4% to 6%, which they pass through contractually or adjust bids accordingly. They continue to invest in labor training programs, including through the Cupertino acquisition, to enhance the workforce and mitigate constraints.

    8. Cash Flow Conversion
      Q: Is higher free cash flow conversion sustainable going forward?
      A: The higher free cash flow conversion this year reflects the mix of work and improved collections. While the company targets a 45% to 55% conversion rate, opportunities exist to be at the high end or even greater, depending on work mix.

    9. Capital Allocation and Acquisitions
      Q: How are you approaching capital allocation and potential acquisitions?
      A: The company is disciplined in acquisitions, focusing on businesses that fit culturally and offer long-term value. They are interested in front-end engineering capabilities but will grow organically or partner if necessary. The aim is to find businesses that provide stability and align with their culture.

    10. Renewable Bookings Outlook
      Q: Why are renewable bookings lighter, and when will they convert?
      A: Management expects a substantial amount of letters of notice to proceed converting to contracts soon. Discussions are robust, and they are confident backlog will grow. They acknowledge potential delays due to the election but believe the underlying business continues forward.

    Research analysts covering QUANTA SERVICES.